Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.003231 0.003388 0.003548 0.003724 0.003912 0.004107 0.004326
2025-05-11 0.002940 0.003172 0.003419 0.003701 0.004016 0.004357 0.004757
2025-05-18 0.002750 0.003024 0.003323 0.003674 0.004078 0.004530 0.005078
2025-05-25 0.002657 0.002968 0.003315 0.003732 0.004224 0.004790 0.005498
2025-06-01 0.002542 0.002876 0.003255 0.003720 0.004280 0.004941 0.005787
2025-06-08 0.002434 0.002784 0.003187 0.003690 0.004308 0.005051 0.006026
2025-06-15 0.002324 0.002683 0.003101 0.003632 0.004293 0.005104 0.006190
2025-06-22 0.002229 0.002596 0.003028 0.003583 0.004286 0.005161 0.006357
2025-06-29 0.002170 0.002547 0.002998 0.003585 0.004339 0.005295 0.006628
2025-07-06 0.002063 0.002437 0.002888 0.003480 0.004251 0.005240 0.006640
2025-07-13 0.002016 0.002398 0.002864 0.003483 0.004299 0.005364 0.006898
2025-07-20 0.001992 0.002388 0.002875 0.003530 0.004407 0.005570 0.007278
2025-07-27 0.001931 0.002329 0.002823 0.003495 0.004404 0.005625 0.007451
2025-08-03 0.001880 0.002281 0.002784 0.003473 0.004418 0.005705 0.007661
2025-08-10 0.001831 0.002234 0.002743 0.003448 0.004426 0.005774 0.007858
2025-08-17 0.001817 0.002232 0.002761 0.003501 0.004542 0.006002 0.008303
2025-08-24 0.001778 0.002196 0.002732 0.003491 0.004568 0.006098 0.008550
2025-08-31 0.001735 0.002153 0.002693 0.003463 0.004568 0.006156 0.008740
2025-09-07 0.001684 0.002098 0.002636 0.003409 0.004528 0.006152 0.008828
2025-09-14 0.001638 0.002050 0.002587 0.003364 0.004498 0.006162 0.008939
2025-09-21 0.001612 0.002026 0.002572 0.003366 0.004537 0.006276 0.009225
2025-09-28 0.001552 0.001956 0.002490 0.003270 0.004427 0.006157 0.009117
2025-10-05 0.001530 0.001936 0.002476 0.003273 0.004465 0.006268 0.009400